reference distribution
Generative models for decision-making under distributional shift
Cheng, Xiuyuan, Zhu, Yunqin, Xie, Yao
Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially observed, or stress-induced. This tutorial presents modern generative models, particularly flow- and score-based methods, as mathematical tools for constructing decision-relevant distributions. From an operations research perspective, their primary value lies not in unconstrained sample synthesis but in representing and transforming distributions through transport maps, velocity fields, score fields, and guided stochastic dynamics. We present a unified framework based on pushforward maps, continuity, Fokker-Planck equations, Wasserstein geometry, and optimization in probability space. Within this framework, generative models can be used to learn nominal uncertainty, construct stressed or least-favorable distributions for robustness, and produce conditional or posterior distributions under side information and partial observation. We also highlight representative theoretical guarantees, including forward-reverse convergence for iterative flow models, first-order minimax analysis in transport-map space, and error-transfer bounds for posterior sampling with generative priors. The tutorial provides a principled introduction to using generative models for scenario generation, robust decision-making, uncertainty quantification, and related problems under distributional shift.
- North America > United States > Georgia > Rockdale County (0.04)
- North America > United States > Arkansas > Cross County (0.04)
- Asia > Middle East > Jordan (0.04)
- Europe > France > Grand Est > Meurthe-et-Moselle > Nancy (0.04)
- Energy (0.94)
- Banking & Finance > Trading (0.46)
- North America > United States (0.14)
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Shenzhen (0.04)
- Asia > China > Hong Kong (0.04)
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- North America > United States > Virginia (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Santa Monica (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Health & Medicine > Therapeutic Area > Endocrinology > Diabetes (0.95)
- Health & Medicine > Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology (0.74)
- North America > United States > Michigan > Washtenaw County > Ann Arbor (0.04)
- Europe > United Kingdom > England > Cambridgeshire > Cambridge (0.04)
- Research Report > Experimental Study (1.00)
- Research Report > New Finding (0.93)
- Europe > Austria > Vienna (0.14)
- North America > United States > Louisiana > Orleans Parish > New Orleans (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Los Angeles County > Long Beach (0.04)
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- North America > Canada > Ontario > Toronto (0.14)
- Oceania > Australia > Victoria > Melbourne (0.04)
- North America > United States > Wisconsin > Dane County > Madison (0.04)
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- Consumer Products & Services > Restaurants (1.00)
- Energy (0.68)
- North America > Canada > British Columbia > Metro Vancouver Regional District > Vancouver (0.05)
- Europe > Netherlands > South Holland > Dordrecht (0.04)
- North America > United States > New Jersey > Hudson County > Hoboken (0.04)
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- North America > United States (0.14)
- Asia > Macao (0.04)
- Asia > China > Hubei Province > Wuhan (0.04)
- Asia > China > Hong Kong (0.04)
RealStats: A Rigorous Real-Only Statistical Framework for Fake Image Detection
As generative models continue to evolve, detecting AI-generated images remains a critical challenge. While effective detection methods exist, they often lack formal interpretability and may rely on implicit assumptions about fake content, potentially limiting robustness to distributional shifts. In this work, we introduce a rigorous, statistically grounded framework for fake image detection that focuses on producing a probability score interpretable with respect to the real-image population. Our method leverages the strengths of multiple existing detectors by combining training-free statistics. We compute p-values over a range of test statistics and aggregate them using classical statistical ensembling to assess alignment with the unified real-image distribution. This framework is generic, flexible, and training-free, making it well-suited for robust fake image detection across diverse and evolving settings.
- Information Technology > Security & Privacy (1.00)
- Law > Criminal Law (0.83)
- Information Technology > Sensing and Signal Processing > Image Processing (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Natural Language (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Neural Networks > Deep Learning (0.93)